As Russia’s presidential election looms, there’s an air of inevitability surrounding the outcome, with Vladimir Putin poised to secure a fifth term despite facing international condemnation for his actions in Ukraine and a tightening grip on dissent at home.
The lead-up to the election has been marked by unprecedented scenes of defiance across Russia, particularly in the wake of the sudden death of prominent opposition leader Alexey Navalny in an Arctic penal colony. Thousands have turned out in protest, despite facing detainment for their actions, reflecting a growing dissatisfaction with Putin’s rule.
Navalny’s funeral in Moscow drew a significant crowd, with mourners expressing both grief and frustration at the current political climate. While some remain optimistic about the possibility of change in Russia, others acknowledge the challenges ahead.
Despite Putin’s pariah status in the West and allegations of war crimes in Ukraine, his approval ratings in Russia remain remarkably high, with public trust in him standing at an astonishing 86%, according to the latest polling. This steadfast support is fueled by a combination of factors, including state-controlled media propaganda and genuine pride in Russia’s achievements under Putin’s leadership.
Ordinary Russians, particularly those outside major urban centers, continue to express unwavering support for Putin, citing improvements in living standards and a sense of national pride. However, there are signs of discontent brewing beneath the surface, with unexpected challenges emerging in the lead-up to the election.
The rejection of an anti-war presidential hopeful, Boris Nadezhdin, despite widespread public support, serves as a reminder that Putin’s popularity may not be unassailable. As Russia grapples with mounting casualties in Ukraine, economic hardships, and ongoing crackdowns on dissent, the resilience of Putin’s support base may face greater scrutiny in the years to come.